Longitudinal variation of the equatorial ionosphere: Modeling and experimental results

We describe a new version of the Parameterized Regional Ionospheric Model (PARIM) which has been modified to include the longitudinal dependences. This model has been reconstructed using multidimensional Fourier series. To validate PARIM results, the South America maps of critical frequencies for the E (foE) and F (foF2) regions were compared with the values calculated by Sheffield Plasmasphere-Ionosphere Model (SUPIM) and IRI representations. PARIM presents very good results, the general characteristics of both regions, mainly the presence of the equatorial ionization anomaly, were well reproduced for equinoctial conditions of solar minimum and maximum. The values of foF2 and hmF2 recorded over Jicamarca (12°S; 77°W; dip lat. 1°N; mag. declination 0.3°) and sites of the conjugate point equatorial experiment (COPEX) campaign Boa Vista (2.8°N; 60.7°W; dip lat. 11.4°; mag. declination −13.1°), Cachimbo (9.5°S; 54.8°W; dip lat. −1.8°; mag. declination −15.5°), and Campo Grande (20.4°S; 54.6°W; dip lat. −11.1°; mag. declination −14.0°) have been used in this work. foF2 calculated by PARIM show good agreement with the observations, except during morning over Boa Vista and midnight-morning over Campo Grande. Some discrepancies were also found for the F-region peak height (hmF2) near the geomagnetic equator during times of F₃ layer occurrences. IRI has underestimated both foF2 and hmF2 over equatorial and low latitude sectors during evening-nighttimes, except for Jicamarca where foF2 values were overestimated.     

Quantifying the role of solar radiative forcing over the 20th century

The 20th century temperature anomaly record is reproduced using an energy balance model, with a diffusive deep ocean. The model takes into account all the standard radiative forcings, and in addition the possibility of a non-thermal solar component. The model is parameterized and then optimized to produce the most likely values for the climate parameters and radiative forcings which reproduce the 20th century global warming. We find that the best fit is obtained with a negligible net feedback. We also show that a non-thermal solar component is necessarily present, indicating that the total solar contribution to the 20th century global warming, of ΔT_solar = 0.27 ± 0.07 °C, is much larger than can be expected from variation in the total solar irradiance alone. However, we also find that the largest contribution to the 20th century warming comes from anthropogenic sources, with ΔT_man = 0.42 ± 0.11 °C.     

组合升力体动力学建模与仿真

设计了组合升力体总体布局，提出了新的组合升力体建模思路与方法，建立了完整的组合升力体飞行动力学数值仿真模型。建模时综合考虑了主要气动力部件的建模，详细讨论了旋翼／固定翼过渡飞行模式的建模方法。根据提出的建模方法进行了组合升力体的操纵响应分析，仿真结果证明了建模理论和方法的合理性和有效性。     

DORIS processing at the European Space Operations Centre

This paper gives an overview of the DORIS related activities at the Navigation Support Office of the European Space Operations Centre. The DORIS activities were started in 2002 because of the launch of the Envisat satellite where ESOC is responsible for the validation of the Envisat Precise Orbits and a brief overview of the key Envisat activities at ESOC is given. Typical orbit comparison RMS values between the CNES POE (GDR-C) and the ESOC POD solution is 6.5, 18.8 and 23.1 mm in radial-, along- and cross-track direction. In the framework of the generation of the ITRF2008 ESOC participated in the reprocessing of all three space geodetic techniques; DORIS, SLR, and GPS. Here the main results of our DORIS reprocessing, in the framework of the International DORIS Service (IDS), are given. The WRMS of the weekly ESOC solution (esawd03) for the 2004–2009 period compared to the IDS-1 combined solution is of the order of 12 mm. Based on the long time series of homogeneously processed data a closer look is taken at the estimated solar radiation pressure parameters of the different satellites used in this DORIS analysis. The main aim being the stabilization of the Z-component of the geocentre estimates. We conclude that the ESOC participation to the IDS ITRF2008 contribution has been beneficial for both ESOC and the IDS. ESOC has profited significantly from the very open and direct communications and comparisons that took place within the IDS during the reprocessing campaign.     

Variation in the ionospheric propagating factor M(3000)F2 at Ouagadougou,Burkina Faso

We use hourly monthly median values of propagation factor M(3000)F2 data observed at Ouagadougou Ionospheric Observatory (geographic12.4°N, 1.5°W; 5.9^o dip), Burkina Faso (West Africa) during the years Januar1987–December1988 (average F10.7 < 130 × 10⁻²² W/m²/Hz, representative of low solar flux conditions) and for January 1989–December1990 (average F10.7 ? 130 × 10⁻²² W/m²/Hz, representative of high solar epoch) for magnetically quiet conditions to describe local time, seasonal and solar cycle variations of equatorial ionospheric propagation factor M(3000)F2 in the African region. We show that that seasonal trend between solar maximum and solar minimum curves display simple patterns for all seasons and exhibits reasonable disparity with root mean square error (RMSE) of about 0.31, 0.29 and 0.26 for December solstice, June solstice and equinox, respectively. Variability Σ defined by the percentage ratio of the absolute standard deviation to the mean indicates significant dissimilarity for the two solar flux levels. Solar maximum day (10–14 LT) and night (22–02 LT) values show considerable variations than the solar minimum day and night values. We compare our observations with those of the IRI 2007 to validate the prediction capacity of the empirical model. We find that the IRI model tends to underestimate and overestimate the observed values of M(3000)F2, in particular, during June solstice season. There are large discrepancies, mainly during high solar flux equinox and December solstice between dawn and local midnight. On the other hand, IRI provides a slightly better predictions for M(3000)F2 between 0900 and 1500 LT during equinox low and high solar activity and equinox high sunspot number. Our data are of great importance in the area of short-wave telecommunication and ionospheric modeling.     

一种基于机动辨识预测的空空导弹导引律

现有的空空导弹导引头在有噪声和干扰的环境下获得目标精确信息存在时间延迟,且新一代目标的机动能力更强,不对导弹加以补偿会造成较大脱靶量,所以需对目标状态有效预测。针对新一代目标规避空空导弹常用的大机动模式,为满足新一代空空导弹发展需求,设计了一种新型复合导引律。从目标自身出发,研究高机动目标规避导弹采用的典型机动形式,对机动轨迹进行离线建模,构建具有扩展能力的目标机动模型库。设计自适应滤波器对测量噪声进行降噪。同时,利用模型库设计了机动辨识预测器,对目标实际机动进行在线辨识。基于在线辨识的结果对目标机动进行预测,并对时间延迟进行补偿和修正,实现对高机动目标的精确打击。仿真结果表明:该方法对不同类型的机动目标均有较高的预测精度和命中精度。     

面向分析的产品建模技术概述

针对当前面向制造的产品模型对产品设计后续数值模拟阶段的适应性不足的问题,为提高产品几何模型与分析模型转换效率,分析了产品模型在数值模拟中的表达形式,总结了面向分析的建模所面临的问题,归纳出面向分析的建模需求,通过改进现有的参数化建模方法,提出了面向分析的产品建模技术及其结构框架,最后以涡轮叶片为例,创建能够适应后续数值模拟的涡轮叶片模型,在一定程度上降低了叶片设计分析一体化的难度,同时对其他高质量数字化模型的创建也有一定的参考价值。     

体育场挑蓬风荷载模拟实验研究

能容纳五万多观众的浙江省黄龙体育中心主体育场，在观众席上建有能遮挡风雨的挑蓬，挑蓬之大达座席覆盖率９０％以上，总面积２１０００ｍ２。挑蓬被支撑在外环梁和由斜拉索吊拉的内环梁上。大跨度梁结构受力问题，是建筑结构业一个十分复杂的问题，而杭州地区的地理位置处于我国的台风区，更显出风荷载影响的严重性。因此需对体育场置于大气边界层风洞中进行风荷载模拟实验，以取得合理的挑蓬体型系数，为结构设计的合理性和可靠性提供重要依据。最终可以节省建筑物的造价。     

多机场地面等待问题模型研究

近几年世界民用航空事业的飞速发展 ,机场容量的限制引起了交通拥挤并造成了巨额损失 ,使得流量管理问题变得越来越迫切。文中针对多机场的地面等待问题 ,建立了一种行之有效的地面等待管理系统模型 ,并提出了忽略航路交叉点容量、空中延误为 0及起飞容量无限的简化模型。     

磁-光/涡流成像技术的有限元分析

近年来迅速发展的磁－光成像（ＭＯＩ）技术使涡流检测技术得到了新的进展。本文运用磁－光／涡流成像的有限元模型对典型的飞机构件缺陷（如连接飞机表面两个铝层的紧固件下面的裂纹）进行模拟。模拟结果表明，其磁场垂直分量的变化对这种结构来说是相当灵敏的，采用ＭＯＩ技术可以用来探测隐藏在紧固件帽下面的缺陷。